ForRunner 2017-07-18T14:29:38+00:00

FORRUNNER

ForRunner’s micro prediction analysis creates load and generation forecasts for each asset or higher-level aggregated asset groups. The granular visibility into micro load and generation characteristics, combined with the intuitive interface, allows ForRunner to build load and generation forecast aggregations by any user-defined physical or commercial attributes. This approach allows a single business analysis application to support each business unit’s operational and commercial requirements.

SITUATION INTELLIGENCE

At the asset load and generation forecasting in near-real time is the foundational situational intelligence needed to manage the emerging transactive energy platform of the future.

The ForRunner solution builds upon the PREP framework to provide system operators and system planners with temporal and granular load and generation data to support DER integration and locational resource planning.

ForRunner Business Solutions

Asset Scheduling

PowerRunner creates asset level load and generation forecasts that can be aggregated up to any system asset or delivery point to effectively support demand scheduling into the wholesale day ahead and real time markets.

Distributed Energy Resource and Microgrid Integration

The intermittent and dynamic nature of DERs and Microgrids requires system operators to forecast the availability and performance characteristics of these behind-the-model assets as a function of historical performance, localized weather and other predictors such as localized price signals.  ForRunner algorithms create deterministic models for each  asset to optimize system integration of wind, solar and demand response resources.

Locational Capacity Management

PowerRunner creates near real time, day ahead and long-term load and generation forecasts for any asset on the system. Capacity constraints on system assets can be assessed and valued for day ahead bid scheduling and used to signal a longer-term need for distribution system investments

Renewable Generation Forecasting

ForRunner creates generation forecasts for utility-scale, community owned or behind-the-meter wind and solar generation assets. The weather dependency of these assets requires more granular and temporal forecasting to provide system operators with net generation forecasts on every system asset.

Position Management

Aggregate near-real time load and generation forecasts vs. supply positions provide a clear and detailed understanding of net position at each delivery point. With real time demand and supply position analysis, ForRunner forecasts serve as the foundation for supply procurement and hedging strategies while operating within defined risk, credit, and contract parameters.

Outage Planning Asset Analysis

ForRunner compares actual and forecasted load and generation for associated assets served by a distribution system substation, feeder and transformer, providing system operators with critical temporal circuit loading requirements to assess the impact of planned and unplanned outages.

Locational Resource Planning

As distributed energy resources, demand response programs and changing consumer habits reshape system usage patterns, resource planning for transmission and distribution is as complex as ever before. ForRunner’s micro forecasting and analytics allows system planners to consider the locational effects these dynamic assets have on resource planning.

Asset Health Management

Load and generation forecasting for downstream assets that are served by a higher system asset are aggregated to produce a virtual asset forecasts for any defined point on the distribution system. These asset forecasts are compared to nameplate ratings for distribution equipment to identify future potential overloading scenarios and to support preventive maintenance programs.

Heuristic Asset Modeling

PowerRunner’s heuristic modeling algorithms analyze the load and generation characteristics of each asset to identify correlations to solar, wind, or other load and generation responsive variables, identifying assets that are highly sensitive to specific variables such as wind speed or cloud cover and responsive to TOU rates or day ahead pricing.

Black Start Restoration

Current restoration procedures re-energize circuits based upon the most recent state of the circuit which is sometimes hours prior to restoration. ForRunner provides system operators with a forecasted load and generation that predicts the circuit loading requirements for the hour in which the restoration is scheduled.

CVR & VVO

Asset level AMI data provides system operators with real and reactive voltage measures. PowerRunner provides the aggregate circuit and substation view of this data needed to optimize local circuit voltage and identity circuits with higher than acceptable VARs.